New England Patriots playoff odds

5–32nd in AFC East#7 seed

Bye: 3.5%
Division: 14.9%
Wildcard: 65.6%
Make playoffs: 80.6%

AFC pictureif the season ended today

#1BUFBye
#7NE@#2DEN
#6CIN@#3JAX
#5KC@#4PIT

The New England Patriots have a 80.6% chance to make the 2026 NFL playoffs, 14.9% to win the AFC East and 3.5% to earn the AFC’s first-round bye, from 4,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Updated Nov 7, 2026, 6:18 PM ET.

Remaining schedule

Pick W or L for each game. Select it again to undo.

Projected 5–39 open

Week	Opponent	Line
9	vsGreen Bay Nov 8 · NE −3.0	NE −3.0
10	vsDetroit Nov 15 · Neutral site · NE −1.5	NE −1.5
12	atLos Angeles Chargers Nov 29 · NE −0.5	NE −0.5
13	vsBuffalo Dec 6 · Division game · NE +0.5	NE +0.5
14	vsMinnesota Dec 10 · NE −3.5	NE −3.5
15	atKansas City Dec 21 · NE +4.0	NE +4.0
16	atNew York Jets Dec 27 · Division game · NE −3.5	NE −3.5
17	vsDenver Jan 3 · NE −1.5	NE −1.5
18	vsMiami Jan 10 · Division game · NE −11.0	NE −11.0

Next up · Week 9

Green Bay Packers

Sun, Nov 8 · 4:25 PM ET

NE −3.0

AFC East standings

Team	W-L	Div	Conf	Playoffs
BUF	6–1	0–1	4–1	99.4%
NE	5–3	3–0	5–1	80.6%
NYJ	2–6	0–2	2–3	0.3%
MIA	1–6	1–1	1–4	0%

Who to root for

Week 9

Other games that move the Patriots’ odds most.

MINBUFRoot for MinnesotaDivision odds +11.2
LACHOURoot for Los Angeles ChargersPlayoff odds +3.8
NOCLERoot for New OrleansPlayoff odds +3.4
SFLVRoot for San FranciscoPlayoff odds +2.2
ATLCINRoot for AtlantaPlayoff odds +2.0